Paulson In the Twighlight Zone
Posted by Dan Simon on Thu, Nov 13, 2008 @ 08:44 AM
Ok, so here's the deal on Paulson.
We are living through a time when the wall between perception and
reality has broken down. Investors, consumers, businesses, the media
etc anticipate terrible news and in responding to this in such a
coordinated way create and perpetuate the reality they are most scared
of. It's like shouting 'fire' in a crowded ballroom: people are
panicking and getting crushed in the stampede.
This scenario
both exonerates and indicts Paulson. He too is responding to the market
and trying to be pragmatic - which would be the correct response under
'normal circumstances'. But he has seriously miscalculated the level to
which his actions are under the microscope and the ease with which the
'perception' of weakness can suddenly become 'real' market weakness.
That's what happened yesterday. I can't advocate placing PR over
pragmatism but he needs to pay more attention to perception because in
this new world order there is no longer the same divide between what we
fear and what we experience.